Northwestern vs Penn State 10/6/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Northwestern winning 44% of simulations, and Penn State 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Northwestern commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Penn State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Venric Mark is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Zach Zwinak is averaging 42 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -3

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